Jurnal Ilmu dan Inovasi Fisika
Vol 9, No 2 (2025)

Advancing Aviation Meteorology Airport Visibility Prediction Using Random Forest Regressor on Integrated METAR Parameters

Kharisma, Adilaksa (Unknown)
Fadhillah, Muhammad (Unknown)
Haryanto, Yosafat Donni (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Nov 2025

Abstract

To provide accurate and reliable visibility information in support of aviation safety at Soekarno-Hatta International Airport, a visibility prediction system was developed using the Random Forest Regressor algorithm based on 2024 METAR data. Visibility is a critical parameter for flight safety, particularly under adverse weather conditions. The dataset includes wind direction and speed, temperature, dew point, air pressure, weather phenomena, and cloud parameters that were numerically encoded. After preprocessing and quality control, the data was input into a Random Forest model optimized using Grid Search. Evaluation results show strong predictive performance with an R² value of 0.8736, MAE of 607.45 m, and RMSE of 772.29 m. Feature importance analysis identified haze, temperature, and mist as the most influential factors affecting visibility. These findings demonstrate that integrating meteorological observational data with machine learning approaches can provide accurate visibility predictions to support aviation operational decision making.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jiif

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Environmental Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology

Description

JIIF (Jurnal Ilmu dan Inovasi Fisika) is a scientific journal that contains research results covering theoretical, simulation and modeling studies, experiments, engineering and exploration in the field of Physics and its ...