Al-Kharaj: Journal of Islamic Economic and Business
Vol. 7 No. 4 (2025): All articles in this issue include authors from 3 countries of origin (Indonesi

Bankruptcy Prediction Analysis Of Retail Companies Affected by Israeli Boycott Using Altman's Z-Score and Springate

Lazura, Sofia (Unknown)
Harahap, Rahmat Daim (Unknown)
Syahbudi, Muhammad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Dec 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the potential bankruptcy of retail sub-sector companies affected by the Israeli boycott listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2022–2024 using the Altman Z-Score and Springate models. By applying both prediction models and computing financial ratios from the companies' financial statements, this study employs a qualitative approach to evaluate the likelihood of bankruptcy. According to the findings, the Springate model has an accuracy rate of 50% with a 50% mistake rate, whereas the Altman Z-Score model has a higher accuracy rate of 75% with a 25% error rate. The quantity and kind of financial ratios employed, as well as the threshold values that each model applies, affect the variations in prediction outcomes. According to the results, the Altman Z-Score model is better suited to forecast bankruptcy in retail businesses impacted by the boycott. Businesses can use this analysis's insightful findings to identify financial issues early and take proactive steps to preserve their viability. This research contributes by providing useful insights for investors, companies, and policymakers to anticipate financial distress and make better strategic decisions in the retail sector.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

alkharaj

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Al-Kharaj, Journal of Islamic Economic and Business is peer-reviewed journal published by program studi ekonomi syariah , Institut Agama Islam Negeri (IAIN) Palopo. Al-Kharaj focus on the research of Islamic Economic and Business. The aims of this journal is to explore and develop economic related ...