Jusikom : Jurnal Sistem Komputer Musirawas
Vol 10 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Sistem Komputer Musirawas DESEMBER

STRATEGI MITIGASI KEBAKARAN HUTAN DAN LAHAN BERBASIS AI DI RIAU

Ali, Edwar (Unknown)
Djahara, Khairani (Unknown)
Pradewanta, Rian (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Dec 2025

Abstract

Forest and land fires (Karhutla) are a significant environmental threat in Riau Province with substantial ecological, health, and economic impacts. This research develops an integrated artificial intelligence (AI)-based application for Karhutla mitigation. The method uses a quantitative approach with a system development design. The dataset includes 87,600 spatiotemporal data items (2020-2024) from MODIS/VIIRS, BMKG, and Sentinel-2. Machine learning models (Random Forest and XGBoost) were trained on the data for real-time hotspot prediction. The XGBoost model achieved an accuracy of 91.2% (AUC 0.871), outperforming RF (88.1%, AUC 0.847). The results are integrated into a Geographic Information System through three main modules: (1) Prediction and Visualization, (2) Early Warning, and (3) Reporting and Analysis. A usability test involving 15 field users resulted in a System Usability Scale score of 82.5 (Excellent). A 4-week implementation pilot achieved a detection rate of 88.9% and a suppression rate of 86.7%, reducing the response time from 4.2 hours to 1.1 hour. The application integrates solutions for real-world AI challenges: model drift (automated retraining), black box (SHAP interpretability), and knowledge gap (training program). The research demonstrates AI technology for disaster mitigation operations with an ROI of 480% and an (investment) payback period of 10.3 months.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jusikom

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

JUSIKOM is a place of information in the form of research results, literature studies, ideas, application of theory and critical analysis studies in the fields of research in the fields of Computer Systems, Computer Science, and Electronics. Focus and Scope: Embedded system, Intelligent control ...