Lontar Komputer: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi
Vol. 15 No. 03 (2024): Vol. 15, No. 03 December (2024)

Predicting the Number of Passengers in Public Transportation Areas Using the Deep Learning Model LSTM

Joko Siswanto (Road Transportation System Engineering, Politeknik Keselamatan Transportasi)
Sri Yulianto Joko Prasetyo (Unknown)
Sutarto Wijono (Unknown)
Evi Maria (Unknown)
Untung Rahardja (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Oct 2025

Abstract

Accurate predictions of the number of public transport passengers on buses in each region are crucial for operations. They are required by the planning and management authority for bus public transport. A deep learning-based LSTM prediction model is proposed to predict the number of passengers in 4 bus public transportation areas (central, north, south, and west), evaluated by MSLE, MAPE, and SMAPE with dropout, neuron, and train-test variations. The CSV dataset obtained from Auckland Transport(AT) New Zealand metro patronage report on bus performance(1/01/2019-31/07/2023) is used for evaluation. The best prediction model was obtained from the lowest evaluation value and relatively fast time with a dropout of 0.2, 32 neurons, and train-test 80-20. The prediction model on training and testing data improves with the suitability of tuning for four predictions for the next 12 months with mutual fluctuations. The strong negative correlation is central-south, while the strong positive correlation is north-west. Predictions are less closely interconnected and dependent, namely central-south. With its potential to significantly impact policy-making, this prediction model can increase public transport mobility in each region, leading to a more efficient and accessible public transport system and ultimately enhancing the public's daily lives. This research has practical implications for public transport authorities, as it can guide them in making informed decisions about service planning and resource allocation.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

lontar

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Lontar Komputer: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi focuses on the theory, practice, and methodology of all aspects of technology in the field of computer science and engineering. It provides an international publication platform to boost the scientific and academic publication of research in the ...