Budget underperformance remains a persistent problem in Indonesia’s decentralized fiscal system, where many provinces struggle to achieve efficient and accountable spending despite transparency initiatives. Weak digital infrastructure often limits citizens’ ability to access and monitor fiscal information, reducing the effectiveness of open governance efforts. This study investigates the determinants of provincial budget performance by focusing on the interplay between fiscal transparency and digital infrastructure. Using panel data from 34 provinces from 2014 to 2024, a two-way fixed-effects regression model examines how transparency, internet penetration, and their interaction influence budget realization. Control variables include budget adaptability, GDP per capita, population size, and intergovernmental transfer ratios. The findings indicate that both transparency and internet penetration significantly improve budget performance, and their interaction strengthens this effect, suggesting that digital readiness amplifies the benefits of transparency. Conversely, budget adaptability, population, and transfer dependency hinder performance, while higher GDP per capita enhances it. These findings confirm that fiscal reforms are context-dependent and require enabling technological conditions. Future research should employ mixed-methods or experimental designs to examine the causal mechanisms linking digital inclusion and fiscal accountability, particularly in less-connected provinces seeking to improve public financial management outcomes.
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