Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika (JMP)
Vol 17 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika (JMP)

DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF SVEIR MODEL IN SPREAD OF THE MONKEYPOX DISEASE WITH TIME DELAY

Saputro, Isnu Aji (Unknown)
Setyowisnu, Glagah Eskacakra (Unknown)
Sofiyati, Noor (Unknown)
Puspita, Dian (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 Jan 2026

Abstract

Monkeypox is an infectious disease whose spread is influenced by various epidemiological factors, one of which is the incubation period. This study developed a mathematical model of Monkeypox, SVEIR, by incorporating a time delay in the transition from an exposed individual to an infectious individual, representing the incubation period. Model analysis shows that the system has two equilibrium points: a disease-free state and an endemic state. Based on the simulation results, a threshold value (tau* ) is obtained, which plays a crucial role in disease control. If the incubation period is below the threshold ( tau<tau*), then R0>1 , and the disease will spread endemically. Conversely, if the incubation period exceeds the threshold (tau>tau* ), then R0<1 , and the disease will disappear from the population

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jmp

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

JMP is a an open access journal which publishes research articles, reviews, case studies, guest edited thematic issues and short communications/letters in all areas of mathematics, applied mathematics, applied commutative algebra and algebraic geometry, mathematical biology, physics and engineering, ...