Indonesian Journal of Law and Economics Review
Vol. 21 No. 1 (2026): February

Poverty As a Catalyst for Migration and International Asylum: An Analytical Study of Turkey's Experience for The Period (2010–2023)

Miklif, Dr. Huda Zwair (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 Dec 2025

Abstract

General Background: Poverty and forced migration represent intertwined global development challenges affecting host-country stability. Specific Background: Turkey has become the world’s largest refugee-hosting country amid rising poverty pressures since 2010. Knowledge Gap: Empirical evidence on the long- and short-term dynamics between poverty and international asylum in Turkey remains limited. Aims: This study analyzes the poverty–asylum relationship during 2010–2023 using an ARDL approach. Results: Findings reveal a significant long-term inverse relationship, with weak short-term effects. Novelty: The study integrates poverty and asylum within a unified econometric framework linked to SDGs. Implications: Effective policy requires coordinated poverty reduction and refugee integration strategies.Highlight : A long-term inverse relationship exists between poverty rates and refugee numbers in Turkey. The short-term relationship between poverty and asylum is weak and statistically insignificant. The results underscore the importance of integrated policies aligned with SDG 1 and SDG 10. Keywords : Poverty, International Asylum, Turkish Economy, ARDL Model, Sustainable Development

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijler

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice

Description

Indonesian Journal of Law and Economics Review (IJLER) is published by Universitas Muhammadiyah Sidoarjo four times a year. This journal provides immediate open access to its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of ...