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All Journal Indonesian Journal of Law and Economics Review
Miklif, Dr. Huda Zwair
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice

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Poverty As a Catalyst for Migration and International Asylum: An Analytical Study of Turkey's Experience for The Period (2010–2023) Miklif, Dr. Huda Zwair
Indonesian Journal of Law and Economics Review Vol. 21 No. 1 (2026): February
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Sidoarjo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21070/ijler.v21i1.1424

Abstract

General Background: Poverty and forced migration represent intertwined global development challenges affecting host-country stability. Specific Background: Turkey has become the world’s largest refugee-hosting country amid rising poverty pressures since 2010. Knowledge Gap: Empirical evidence on the long- and short-term dynamics between poverty and international asylum in Turkey remains limited. Aims: This study analyzes the poverty–asylum relationship during 2010–2023 using an ARDL approach. Results: Findings reveal a significant long-term inverse relationship, with weak short-term effects. Novelty: The study integrates poverty and asylum within a unified econometric framework linked to SDGs. Implications: Effective policy requires coordinated poverty reduction and refugee integration strategies.Highlight : A long-term inverse relationship exists between poverty rates and refugee numbers in Turkey. The short-term relationship between poverty and asylum is weak and statistically insignificant. The results underscore the importance of integrated policies aligned with SDG 1 and SDG 10. Keywords : Poverty, International Asylum, Turkish Economy, ARDL Model, Sustainable Development
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