Indonesian Journal of Islamic Economics and Business
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025): Indonesian Journal of Islamic Economics and Business

Analisis Financial Distress Pada Bank Umum Syariah Di Indonesia Dengan Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score, Grover Dan Fulmer Periode 2020-2024

Salsabiila, Salwa (Unknown)
Amalia, Farah (Unknown)
Muyassarah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Dec 2025

Abstract

This study analyzes the financial distress conditions of Islamic Commercial Banks (Bank Umum Syariah/BUS) in Indonesia during 2020–2024 using the Altman Z-Score, Grover, and Fulmer models. Employing a quantitative descriptive-comparative approach, the research uses secondary data from annual financial reports of banks selected through purposive sampling with criteria of operating for at least five years, having complete financial statements for 2020–2024, and recording positive EBIT. The analysis applies the three models to assess financial health, with the confusion matrix used to measure accuracy, precision, recall, specificity, and negative predictive value (NPV). Results show that all Islamic banks are generally in a healthy condition, indicated by a Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) ≥ 8%. The modified Altman Z-Score achieved 87.27% accuracy and functioned effectively as an early warning system, while Grover and Fulmer models showed perfect accuracy of 100%, classifying all banks as non-distressed. Among the three, the Grover model is the most suitable for Islamic banking due to its simplicity and consistency with empirical data. This study contributes by integrating confusion matrix validation, enhancing the reliability of financial distress prediction in Islamic banking institutions.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijoieb

Publisher

Subject

Religion Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Indonesian Journal of Islamic Economics and Business E-ISSN: 2540-9506 P-ISSN: 2540-9514 is the journal that concerns to publish broader issues on Islamic Economics and Business. It based on the presupposition that Islamic economics and Business is still on going process to be established. There is ...