J-KOMA : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Aplikasi
Vol 8 No 02 (2025): J-KOMA : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Aplikasi

Prediksi Risiko Putus Sekolah Menggunakan Long Short-Term Memory Berdasarkan Data Prestasi Akademik

Arafiyah, Ria (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
26 Dec 2025

Abstract

Student dropout is a critical issue affecting academic quality and institutional performance in higher education. Dropout behavior usually emerges gradually through declining academic performance across semesters. Therefore, time-series modeling is essential to capture such temporal patterns. This study proposes a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to predict student dropout risk based on semester-wise academic data. The dataset consists of 385 undergraduate students from the Computer Science program, FMIPA, represented by Grade Point Average (GPA) and credit load (SKS) over eight semesters. Student status is converted into a binary label: dropout and non-dropout. To address class imbalance, Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) is applied. Experimental results show that the proposed LSTM model achieves a recall of 1.00 for the dropout class, indicating that all dropout cases are successfully detected. Although the precision remains relatively low due to false positives, the model demonstrates strong potential as a basis for academic monitoring and early intervention systems.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jkoma

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

J-KOMA is an open access journal, with core focus in two aspect: computer science general and information technology. All copyrights are retained by each respective author, but we hold publishing right. Currently, this journal has E-ISSN :2620-4827 published by LIPI which made it as a national ...