CogITo Smart Journal
Vol. 11 No. 2 (2025): Cogito Smart Journal

Predictive Linear Regression Model for Premature Birth Risk Assessment System

Kusumaningsih, Dewi (Unknown)
Kadir, Abdul (Unknown)
Pudoli, Ahmad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Dec 2025

Abstract

Preterm birth is a major cause of neonatal mortality in Indonesia and is influenced by multiple maternal factors. Early prediction models are crucial for supporting timely clinical decision-making and reducing adverse maternal–infant outcomes. The method of this study developed a linear regression–based predictive model using 915 pregnancy medical records from Dr. H. M. Ansari Saleh Regional Hospital, Banjarmasin (2020–2022). The workflow included data preprocessing, feature selection, Min-Max normalization, and experimentation with various train–test split ratios (90:10 to 50:50). Model performance was evaluated using R², Adjusted R², MAE, MSE, RMSE, and MAPE metrics. As the results, the 70:30 split ratio achieved the best accuracy of 89.05% and AUC of 98.10%, with low prediction errors. Optimizations with Adamax and Nadam enhanced stability and reduced MAPE to 1.95%. The optimized linear regression model reliably predicts preterm birth risk and is suitable for clinical decision support, particularly in resource-limited settings.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

cogito

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

CogITo Smart Journal adalah jurnal ilmiah di bidang Ilmu Komputer yang diterbitkan oleh Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Klabat anggota CORIS (Cooperation Research Inter University) dan IndoCEISS (Indonesian Computer Electronics and Instrumentation Support Society). CogITo Smart Journal dua kali ...