Indonesian Journal of Economics, Social, and Humanities
Vol 8 No 1 (2026)

Modelling Dynamic Impact of Governance and External Shocks on Fiscal Performance in Indonesia

Muhammad, Mansur (Unknown)
Hasudungan, Herbert Wibert Victor (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Feb 2026

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of external shocks and good governance on fiscal performance in Indonesia. Data for this study, covering the period from 2002 to 2021, was collected from reputable sources such as the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and World Governance Indicators. To conduct a rigorous analysis, we employed robust generalized method of moments (GMM) techniques to examine the data. Prior to estimation, several preliminary analyses were conducted to ensure the reliability of the results. They include descriptive analysis, principal component analysis was conducted to reduce the dimensionality of governance indicators, and unit root test. This study empirically found that oil price shocks have a negative effect on fiscal performance, reflecting the profound influence of these shocks on various sectors of the economy. Additionally, the study confirms the positive relationship between good governance and fiscal performance, emphasizing the role of governance as a driver of efficient resource allocation and development, not only in Indonesia but also in other economies. Findings emanating from this study underscore the significance of considering good governance and external shocks when formulating fiscal policies and strategies for sustainable economic growth and development.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

ijesh

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice

Description

Indonesian Journal of Economics, Social, and Humanities (IJESH) is a peer-reviewed academic journal of studies in the field of Economics, Social, and Humanities studies, both theories and practices published biannually in January and July by Research and Community Service Institution of Universitas ...