Merkurius: Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Informatika
Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): Januari : Merkurius: Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Informatika

Data Pipeline Engineering untuk LSTM Forecasting Seismisitas Melalui Integrasi Proses ETL Katalog Gempa Indonesia

Dewa Gde Agung Wisnu Anantha (Unknown)
I Wayan Sudiarsa (Unknown)
I Kadek Adi Erawan (Unknown)
I Ketut Okta Suastika (Unknown)
Gde Wardika Nugraha (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jan 2026

Abstract

Indonesia, as a country with the highest seismicity in the world, requires an accurate earthquake prediction system through the use of the BMKG earthquake catalogue. This research aims to implement ETL-based data pipeline engineering to process 92,887 earthquake catalog entries for the 2008-2023 period into ready-to-use daily time series for the LSTM seismicity forecasting model. The ETL process includes raw data extraction, cleaning of 97% missing values columns on focal mechanism parameters, datetime conversion, daily resampling producing 5,200 entries with earthquake count, total magnitude, and average magnitude features, as well as Min-Max Scaler normalization for LSTM compatibility. The dataset was processed using Google Colab with a stacked LSTM architecture of two layers of 50 and 25 units, dropout 0.2, Adam optimizer, and a sequence window of 30 days to predict the daily earthquake count. The model trained for 100 epochs shows the ability to capture stable seismic activity trends with a consistent decrease in MSE loss, although it shows deviations in extreme spikes due to aftershock sequences. The ETL pipeline proved crucial in ensuring temporal consistency, 100% data completeness, and relevant physics representation, resulting in a reproducible end-to-end framework for disaster mitigation.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Merkurius

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Merkurius : Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Informatika memuat naskah hasil-hasil penelitian di bidang Sistem Informasi dan Teknik ...