IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 15, No 1: February 2026

Web-based geothermal drilling stuck pipe prediction using decision tree algorithm

Muhtadlor, Rosyihan (Unknown)
Rosyid, Nur Rohman (Unknown)
Fauziyyah, Anni Karimatul (Unknown)
Setiawan, Lalu Hendra Permana (Unknown)
Saputra, Irfan (Unknown)
Stasa, Pavel (Unknown)
Benes, Filip (Unknown)
Syafrudin, Muhammad (Unknown)
Alfian, Ganjar (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Feb 2026

Abstract

In geothermal drilling operations, data from rig-mounted sensors play a crucial role in maintaining operational efficiency and preventing drilling failures. However, sensor uncertainties and complex subsurface conditions can lead to stuck pipe incidents, causing significant non-productive time and financial losses. This study proposes web-based drilling monitoring system integrated with machine learning (ML) to predict stuck pipe occurrences in geothermal drilling. Several ML algorithms—decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and support vector machine (SVM)—were evaluated using geothermal drilling data from an Indonesian geothermal project conducted in 2023. To address class imbalance, the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was applied to the training dataset. Feature selection was performed using the correlation coefficient method, and predictions were generated using a 5 minute sliding window. Among the evaluated models, the DT consistently demonstrated superior performance across multiple prediction horizons (PH), achieving an accuracy of 97.4%, precision of 98.6%, recall of 72.9%, and a ROC-AUC of 0.729 using the top five selected features. The trained model was integrated into web-based monitoring platform that provides visualization and predictive alerts. This system enables early detection and better decision-making, helping improve drilling efficiency, reduce stuck pipe risks, and enhance operational safety.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...