Scientific Journal of Informatics
Vol. 13 No. 1: February 2026

Rainfall Prediction at Ahmad Yani Meteorological StationUsing Integration ARIMA and LSTM

Pramudya, Naufal Daffa (Unknown)
Rahmat Gernowo (Unknown)
Indra Waspada (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2026

Abstract

Purpose: Predicting rainfall using ARIMA, LSTM, and Hybrid ARIMA-LSTM models to obtain accuracy values ​​on data at the Ahmad Yani Semarang station. Methods: This study implements the ARIMA, LSTM, and hybrid ARIMA-LSTM models to determine which of these models produces the most significant predictions using rainfall data at the Ahmad Yani Meteorological Station in Semarang. This method proves whether using the hybrid ARIMA-LSTM, which is a combination of the two models, is able to provide greater accuracy compared to the ARIMA/LSTM model. The results of these predictions can certainly help relevant stakeholders to improve rainfall accuracy, especially at the Ahmad Yani Meteorological Station. Result: By utilizing the power of statistical models (ARIMA) with deep learning (LSTM), the results of these two models provide higher accuracy compared to each model, as seen from the accuracy of the best ARIMA model using RMSE 15.8 and MAE 8.7, the best LSTM model RMSE 14.65 and MAE 9.06, while in the HYBRID ARIMA-LSTM model the best RMSE is 14.1 and MAE 9.06. Novelty: This research adds to the knowledge regarding the accuracy or combination of ARIMA and LSTM models which are rarely used, especially in the world of meteorology or rainfall. By utilizing the ARIMA model which is able to read linear patterns and the LSTM model which reads non-linear patterns, the accuracy of rainfall increases and can help related stakeholders.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

sji

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Scientific Journal of Informatics (p-ISSN 2407-7658 | e-ISSN 2460-0040) published by the Department of Computer Science, Universitas Negeri Semarang, a scientific journal of Information Systems and Information Technology which includes scholarly writings on pure research and applied research in the ...