Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM)
Vol. 7 No. 1: March 2026

Mathematical Modeling of COVID-19: An Optimal Control Approach

Ayodeji Sunday Afolabi (Department of Mathematical Sciences, Federal University of Technology, Akure, P.M.B. 704, Akure, Ondo State)
Abdulwahab Ridwan (Department of Mathematical Sciences, Federal University of Technology, Akure, P.M.B. 704, Akure, Ondo State)



Article Info

Publish Date
17 Mar 2026

Abstract

A non-linear mathematical model is developed to describe the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. The model’s well-posedness is verified by analyzing the positivity and boundedness of its solutions. Analytical expressions for the disease-free equilibrium points are derived and the stability analyses of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are conducted. A sensitivity analysis of the model parameters with respect to the basic reproduction number (R0) is carried out to identify the key factors influencing COVID-19 transmission. Consequently, the model is extended into an optimal control problem by incorporating three time-dependent interventions: preventive measures (such as travel restrictions and personal protection), continuous vaccination of susceptible individuals, and testing, isolation, and treatment of infected cases. Four control strategies, each combining at least two interventions, are explored. The autonomous and non-autonomous systems are analyzed. Numerical simulations indicate that implementing the three control measures concurrently provides the most effective strategy to mitigating the spread of COVID-19.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

ejournal

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics Public Health

Description

The Jambura Journal of Biomathematics JJBM is a peer reviewed academic journal published by the Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo, Indonesia. The journal is established with the vision of becoming a leading scientific publication in ...