BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 20 No 3 (2026): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application

DEVELOPMENT STUDY OF GLMM-GEE-TREE REGRESSION MODELLING FOR BETA DISTRIBUTION RESPONSE DATA (IMPLICATIONS OF GINI RATIO MODELING IN INDONESIA, 2018-2024)

Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing (School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University, Indonesia)
Erfiani Erfiani (School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University, Indonesia)
Khairil Anwar Notodiputro (School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University, Indonesia)
Anang Kurnia (School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Apr 2026

Abstract

Economic inequality remains one of the most persistent challenges faced by Indonesia as a developing country. Previous studies have predominantly employed conventional models such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) or Panel Least Squares. However, these models are often inappropriate, as they fail to account for the bounded nature of inequality indices such as the Gini ratio, which ranges between 0 and 1. Beta regression offers a more appropriate alternative. In the context of panel data, Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) and Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) are commonly used to handle correlated data; however, their integration with nonlinear models for longitudinal Beta-distributed responses remains limited. This study proposes a novel GLMM-GEE-Tree modeling approach for Beta-distributed response data. The proposed model combines GLMM (to capture individual random effects), GEE (to handle temporal correlation and provide robust marginal estimates), and Regression Trees (to address nonlinear relationships and complex interactions). The aim is to simultaneously tackle the challenges of proportional responses, panel structure, random effects, correlation, and nonlinearity. Empirical validation uses Gini ratio data from 34 Indonesian provinces spanning 2018 to 2024. The findings reveal that in this empirical data, the GLMM-GEE-Tree model outperforms alternative models, achieving an R² of 0.472 and a QIC of 13.435 and yielding the lowest AIC and BIC values.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...