Sriwijaya Journal of Forensic and Medicolegal
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): Sriwijaya Journal of Forensic and Medicolegal

Neural Network Versus Stepwise Regression for Forensic Stature Estimation from Percutaneous Tibial Dimensions in South Sumatran Malay Adults

Sari Sulistyoningsih (Department of Anatomy, CMHC Research Center, Palembang, Indonesia)
Abu Bakar (Department of Radiology, CMHC Research Center, Palembang, Indonesia)
Eduardo Michael Perez (Department of Oral Biology, Cobija State Hospital, Cobija, Bolivia)
Ifah Shandy (Department of Mathematics Education, Enigma Institute, Palembang, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Nov 2025

Abstract

Background. Stature estimation from skeletal elements underpins forensic biological profiling and is decisive in disaster victim identification, yet no validated osteometric standard exists for the South Sumatran Malay population, and stepwise regression assumes a linearity that skeletal growth biology does not obey. Methods. 450 healthy South Sumatran Malay adults (225 male, 225 female) aged 20-50 years were enrolled at CMHC Research Center, Palembang, and reported per STROBE. Five percutaneous right-tibial dimensions were measured by one certified anthropologist under the Martin and Saller convention (all relative technical errors of measurement below 1.5%), and a stratified 70:30 partition withheld 135 observations for testing. Stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR) was compared against a grid-search-optimised 5-64-32-16-1 multilayer perceptron artificial neural network (MLP-ANN). Results. Sexual dimorphism was large for every dimension (Cohen's d 1.42-1.75; all p < 0.001). Percutaneous tibial length was the strongest single predictor (males r = 0.812, 95% CI 0.762-0.852). The calibration-corrected pooled regression reached R2 = 0.742 with RMSE ±4.82 cm, whereas the network reached R2 = 0.914 (95% CI 0.891-0.933) and RMSE ±2.78 cm — ΔR2 = 0.172 (bootstrap 95% CI 0.141-0.203), a 23.2% gain in explained variance and a 42.3% reduction in error that narrows the 95% forensic identification window from ±9.45 cm to ±5.45 cm. Conclusion. These first population-specific, artificial-intelligence-driven standards materially improve the biological profiling of incomplete human remains in Indonesian medicolegal and disaster victim identification practice.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SJFM

Publisher

Subject

Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Medicine & Pharmacology

Description

Focus Sriwijaya Journal of Forensic and Medicolegal (SJFM) focused on the development of medical sciences especially forensic and medicolegal for human well-being. Scope Sriwijaya Journal of Forensic and Medicolegal (SJFM) publishes articles which encompass all aspects of basic research/clinical ...