Daengku: Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Innovation
Vol. 6 No. 1 (2026)

Analysis and Forecasting of Unilever Indonesia Stock Prices Using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Model

Meliyana, Sitti Masyitah (Unknown)
Rahman, Abdul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Feb 2026

Abstract

This study aims to forecast the stock price of Unilever Indonesia using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. The dataset consists of weekly stock price data from May 2015 to May 2025, representing a financial time series with nonlinear and dynamic patterns. The LSTM model is employed due to its capability to capture long-term dependencies in sequential data. To evaluate model performance, the dataset is partitioned into three training–testing scenarios, namely 90:10, 80:20, and 70:30. Model accuracy is assessed using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results indicate that the best predictive performance is achieved using the 90:10 data split, yielding the lowest MAPE value of 6.973%, which falls into the highly accurate forecasting category. In comparison, the 70:30, and 80:20 scenarios produce higher MAPE values of 13.732% and 17.263% respectively. These findings demonstrate that increasing the proportion of training data significantly improves the performance of the LSTM model in forecasting stock prices. This study highlights the effectiveness of LSTM in modeling financial time series and provides practical insights for data-driven decision-making in stock market analysis.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

daengku

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Other

Description

The Daengku seeks to publish high-quality research papers, review articles, and book reviews that make a contribution to knowledge through the application and development of theories, new data exploration, and/or scientific analysis of salient policy issues. The Scope of the Daengku includes the ...