Panthera : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Sains dan Terapan
Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): April

Analisis Sensitivitas Premi Asuransi Jiwa Berjangka terhadap Suku Bunga dengan Model CIR Berdasarkan Volatilitas & Waktu

Haliza, Putri Yusra (Unknown)
Sarah, Auta Shintha (Unknown)
Simorangkir, Agnes Monica (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the sensitivity of term life insurance premiums to interest rate changes using the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model by considering volatility and coverage period. The study uses interest rate data for the 2021–2025 period obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the 2019 Indonesian Mortality Table (TMI), with a case study of a 30-year-old insured, a sum insured of IDR 100,000,000, and tenors of 5, 10, and 20 years. The results show that the premiums of the CIR model are consistently higher than those of the fixed interest rate model by a difference of around 0.5%–1.5%. Quantitatively, an increase in the interest rate from 3% to 7% significantly reduces the premium, while an extension of the coverage period increases the premium proportionally. Meanwhile, interest rate volatility has a relatively small effect on the premium, in line with the low value of the volatility parameter (σ = 0.00549). Thus, interest rates and coverage terms are the dominant factors in determining premiums, while volatility has a limited influence in the model used.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

panthera

Publisher

Subject

Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Education Environmental Science Immunology & microbiology Mathematics Physics Social Sciences

Description

Panthera : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Sains dan Terapan (P : JIPST), offers an interdisciplinary forum for the publication of original peer-reviewed, contributed and invited research articles of the highest quality that address different topics of science education with implications for improving and ...