IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 15, No 3: June 2026

Prediction of new student admissions to higher education using support vector machines

Neni Purwati (Universitas Muhammadiyah Lamongan)
Windya Harieska Pramujati (Politeknik Negeri Malang)
A. Aviv Mahmudi (Universitas YPPI Rembang)
Mira Febriana Sesunan (Universitas Darma Persada)
Yahya Yahya (Universitas Darma Persada)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2026

Abstract

Higher education institutions across various regions operate using systems that generate large amounts of data. This data is stored and utilized for strategic decision-making, providing significant business value to these institutions. Support vector machine (SVM) has become popular due to its strong generalization capability, high prediction accuracy, and faster training speed. SVM employs kernels as tuning parameters. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of student admissions prediction in higher education institutions using the SVM classification model. The SVM model was applied to a dataset comprising 5,936 records with four attributes and was evaluated using the use training set, 10-fold cross-validation, and percentage splits of 70%–30% and 80%–20%. Initially, the SVM-kernel model achieved high accuracy but failed to identify any true positive instances, indicating its inability to detect the minority “not accepted” class due to severe class imbalance. After applying class balancing techniques, the model’s performance improved significantly in terms of area under the curve (AUC), F-measure, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), reflecting a more balanced classification between majority and minority classes. The SVM with Pearson VII function-based universal kernel (PUK) and classifier version 4.5 (C4.5) models achieved the best performance, indicating that class balancing effectively enhances both sensitivity and fairness in predictive classification.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...