Fondasi: Jurnal Teknik Sipil
Vol 15, No 1 (2026)

Risk Analysis in Public–Private Partnership (PPP) Schemes for Infrastructure Development in Indonesia: A Case Study of the Serang–Panimbang Toll Road Project, Section 2

Siti Asyiah (Departemen of Civil Engineering, Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University)
Rifky Ujianto (Departemen of Civil Engineering, Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University)
Mush'ab 'Abdu Asy Syahid (Departemen of Civil Engineering, Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University)
Dwi Novi Setiawati (Departemen of Civil Engineering, Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University)
Annisa Rahman Tabrani Putri (Departemen of Civil Engineering, Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

The limited capacity of the State Budget (APBN) to finance infrastructure development has led to a significant funding gap that must be addressed. To overcome this challenge, the Government has adopted an alternative financing scheme known as Public–Private Partnership (PPP). PPP is defined as a collaborative arrangement between the Government and private entities in the provision of infrastructure aimed at serving public interests. This study aims to identify the risks associated with the implementation of the PPP scheme in the Serang–Panimbang Toll Road Project, Section 2, and to determine appropriate strategies for risk mitigation and response. The research employs a quantitative approach using descriptive analysis. Risk assessment is conducted by comparing the Severity Index and the Probability Index to determine the level of risk. The results show that the majority of identified risks fall into high and extreme categories, with 15 variables classified as extreme risk, 23 variables as high risk, and 1 variable as moderate risk. The most critical risks are related to land acquisition, project scope changes, limited working space, geological conditions, and permitting processes, particularly during the pre-construction and construction phases. Mitigation strategies emphasize the importance of contractual clarity, stakeholder coordination, technical investigation, and financial preparedness, with several risks requiring shared responsibility between the government and private sector. These findings highlight the importance of proactive and integrated risk management to improve the performance and sustainability of PPP-based infrastructure projects.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jft

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Transportation

Description

Terbitan berkala yang mempublikasikan hasil penelitian yang berkaitan dengan pengembangan sains dan teknologi dalam bidang teknik sipil (Struktur, Transportasi, Geoteknik, Sumber Daya Air dan Manajemen Konstruksi) sebagai bentuk kekayaan intelektual. Diterbitkan sebanyak 2 kali dalam satu tahun ...