International Journal on Advanced Technology, Engineering, and Information System (IJATEIS)
Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): JANUARY

Spatial Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Frequency in Jakarta Using a Geographically Weighted Regression Approach

Gamas Gagah Pangestu (Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia)
Sutanto Soehodo (Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia)
Martha Leni Siregar (Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Jun 2026

Abstract

Traffic accidents are a complex issue influenced by road network characteristics, demographics, land use, and traffic conditions. This study analyzes the effects of these factors on accident frequency in DKI Jakarta and examines their spatial variation at the sub-district level. Using secondary data on accidents, road networks, population, land use, traffic, and regional activity, analysis was conducted using global regression (Ordinary Least Squares/OLS) and spatial regression (Geographically Weighted Regression/GWR), considering variations by severity, time period, and lighting. Results show that all factor groups significantly influence accident frequency, with effect magnitudes varying across areas. The GWR model captures local variations better than OLS, reflected by higher R² values in most conditions, while OLS remains effective for explaining global patterns. Findings indicate accident variations are more influenced by differences in the strength of factor effects across regions rather than the types of factors themselves, and are also affected by traffic operational conditions. This confirms that traffic accident characteristics are inherently spatial and contextual. The study highlights the importance of area-specific transportation safety planning, with tailored policy approaches to enhance intervention effectiveness in reducing urban accident rates.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJATEIS

Publisher

Subject

Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

International Journal on Advanced Technology, Engineering, and Information System (IJATEIS) is an international peer-reviewed journal dedicated to interchange for the results of high-quality research in all aspect of technology, science, engineering and information system. The journal publishes ...