Jurnal Filsafat Indonesia
Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026)

Mengurai Perdebatan Thirder dan Halfer dalam Masalah Putri Tidur melalui Interpretasi Peluang: Unraveling the Thirder and Halfer Debate in the Sleeping Beauty Problem through the Interpretation of Probability

Lukas Julian (Sekolah Tinggi Filsafat Driyarkara, Jakarta, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 Apr 2026

Abstract

Since the emergence of the Sleeping Beauty Problem, the debate between thirder and halfer has continued. This debate has even evolved into a more specific form with certain modifications to test whether the thirder and halfer arguments are tenable in certain cases. However, discussions attempting to untangle this debate are relatively few. In this paper, I propose the thesis that differences in the interpretation of probability are the cause of the emergence of the thirder and halfer dualism. To demonstrate this thesis, I will argue using a conceptual analysis of the concept of ‘probability’, which is the point of difference between thirder and halfer. The analysis reveals that thirder interpret probability epistemically (epistemological interpretation), while halfer interpret probability ontically (objective interpretation). However, a review of the interpretation of probability is not enough to provide an adequate answer in terms of determining the correct interpretation of probability if this debate is expanded in the context of practical applications.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JFI

Publisher

Subject

Education

Description

Jurnal Filsafat Indonesia is a scientific journal published by LPPM Ganesha Educational University, which publishes scientific articles on the development and research in philosophy. Journal of Philosophy is published three times a year, in April, June, and September. Editorial Team Journal of ...