Journal of Digital Business and Data Science
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Digital Business And Data Science

Diagnostic Expert System Website-Based Stroke Disease Using Forward Chaining and Certainty Factor Methods

Muhammad Fikri Bagus Pratama (Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak, Indonesia)
Asrul Abdullah (Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak, Indonesia)
Istikoma Istikoma (Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Jun 2026

Abstract

Background: Stroke is a neurological condition characterized by the sudden loss of brain function resulting from disruption of blood supply to the brain. It ranks as the second leading cause of death globally, with a mortality rate ranging from 18% to 37%, and constitutes a major cause of neurological disability in Indonesia as well as the third leading cause of death worldwide.Objective: This study aimed to develop a web-based expert system enabling patients and their families to perform early detection of stroke symptoms.Method: This study employed a prototype-based development methodology. The knowledge base was constructed through structured interviews with a neurologist and validated through cross-checking with clinical records. The Forward Chaining method served as the inference engine, deriving diagnostic conclusions from symptom-based facts, while the Certainty Factor method quantified diagnostic uncertainty. System testing was conducted using six patient case samples provided by the expert.Findings and Implications: The system achieved a diagnostic accuracy of 86.68% based on cross-validation with expert knowledge using six clinical case samples. Black-box functional testing confirmed that all system features performed as expected.Conclusion: These results indicate that the system is capable of supporting preliminary stroke symptom assessment, thereby facilitating early decision-making prior to professional medical consultation. However, given the limited number of test cases, the system’s generalizability warrants further validation using a larger clinical dataset.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

pl

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal of Digital Business and Data Science a double-blind peer-reviewed open-access academic journal committed to publishing high-quality, multidisciplinary research focused on rural development and innovation. The journal is published biannually by Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional. The ...