Istikoma Istikoma
Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak, Indonesia

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Diagnostic Expert System Website-Based Stroke Disease Using Forward Chaining and Certainty Factor Methods Muhammad Fikri Bagus Pratama; Asrul Abdullah; Istikoma Istikoma
Journal of Digital Business and Data Science Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Digital Business And Data Science
Publisher : Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59261/jdbs.v3i1.34

Abstract

Background: Stroke is a neurological condition characterized by the sudden loss of brain function resulting from disruption of blood supply to the brain. It ranks as the second leading cause of death globally, with a mortality rate ranging from 18% to 37%, and constitutes a major cause of neurological disability in Indonesia as well as the third leading cause of death worldwide.Objective: This study aimed to develop a web-based expert system enabling patients and their families to perform early detection of stroke symptoms.Method: This study employed a prototype-based development methodology. The knowledge base was constructed through structured interviews with a neurologist and validated through cross-checking with clinical records. The Forward Chaining method served as the inference engine, deriving diagnostic conclusions from symptom-based facts, while the Certainty Factor method quantified diagnostic uncertainty. System testing was conducted using six patient case samples provided by the expert.Findings and Implications: The system achieved a diagnostic accuracy of 86.68% based on cross-validation with expert knowledge using six clinical case samples. Black-box functional testing confirmed that all system features performed as expected.Conclusion: These results indicate that the system is capable of supporting preliminary stroke symptom assessment, thereby facilitating early decision-making prior to professional medical consultation. However, given the limited number of test cases, the system’s generalizability warrants further validation using a larger clinical dataset.