Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika
Vol 5, No 5 (2026): Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika

Comparative Analysis of Pension Fund Investment Strategies: Time versus Contribution Size in Logistic Growth Model

Nabila Asyiqotur Rohmah (Department of Mathematics Education, UIN Kiai Ageng Muhammad Besari, Ponorogo)
Zahra Nugraheni (Department of Mathematics Education, UIN Kiai Ageng Muhammad Besari, Ponorogo)
Mohamad Nur Fauzi (Department of Mathematics Education, UIN Kiai Ageng Muhammad Besari, Ponorogo)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2026

Abstract

Pension fund planning requires strategies that balance contribution size, rate of return, and investment horizon to ensure long-term financial sustainability. This study compares early investing with small sustained contributions against late investing with large short-term contributions, using a logistic growth model $\frac{dA}{dt} = r_m A\!\left(1 - \frac{A}{K}\right) + C$ solved numerically via the 4th-order Runge-Kutta method. Seven scenarios across three categories (a core comparison, a robustness check, and a trade-off analysis) were designed with total contributions held equal at Rp360,000,000 to isolate the effect of investment timing. In the core comparison, early investing at 6\% over 30 years yields Rp1,009,377,036 (total return multiplier 2.80x) versus Rp583,741,686 (1.62x) for late investing over 15 years, a 73\% difference despite identical capital outlay. More critically, in the trade-off analysis, an early strategy at 5\% over 30 years still outperformed a very late strategy at 8\% over 10 years (Rp835,280,623 versus Rp551,414,017), confirming that even a three-percentage-point return advantage cannot compensate for a shorter horizon. These findings, consistent across different return rates and validated against the classical exponential-annuity benchmark, establish investment horizon as the dominant variable in long-term accumulation and offer practical guidance for early pension fund decision-making.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jrmm

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika (JRMM) publishes current research articles in any area of Mathematics Research such as graph labelings, modeling, statistics, actuaria, optimal network problems, metric dimension, graph coloring, rainbow connection and other related topics. JRMM is published six ...