International Journal of Agricultural Sciences
Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026)

Competitiveness of Indonesia’s Gambier Exports in the Indian Market: A VECM Analysis

Hasnah, Hasnah (Unknown)
Syafitri, Deolsha (Unknown)
Analia, Devi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study aims to: (1) describe the development of Indonesia’s gambier exports, (2) assess the competitiveness of Indonesian gambier exports in the Indian market, and (3) identify the factors influencing this competitiveness (HS Code 320190). A quantitative approach is employed using time-series data from 1999 to 2024, obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), the International Trade Centre (ITC), UN Comtrade, and Bank Indonesia. Export competitiveness is measured using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index, while its determinants are analyzed using a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The findings show that Indonesia’s gambier exports to India have fluctuated over time but display a long-term upward trend. The RCA values consistently exceed one and fall within the category of strong comparative advantage (RCA > 4), indicating a high level of competitiveness. In fact, the RCA values range from approximately 21.23 to 38.25, demonstrating Indonesia’s dominant position as the primary supplier of gambier in the Indian market. The VECM results reveal that, in the long run, export volume, Indonesian gambier export prices, global gambier export prices, export prices of competing countries (Italy and Singapore), and the exchange rate significantly affect export competitiveness. In contrast, short-run adjustments toward equilibrium occur relatively slowly.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijac

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences

Description

International Journal of Agricultural Sciences is an open access journal published by the Graduate Program of Andalas University. IJASC publishes original research findings from throughout the world related to strategic and applied studies in all aspects of agricultural science, as well as reviews ...