Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 2 No 10 (2018): Oktober 2018

Implementasi Algoritme Average Time Based Fuzzy Time Series Untuk Peramalan Tingkat Inflasi Berdasarkan Kelompok Pengeluaran

Mohammad Angga Prasetya Askin (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Imam Cholissodin (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Sigit Adinugroho (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Feb 2018

Abstract

Inflation is a condition in which the sale price of goods or services experienced a general increase or decrease in economic activity. This affects the people of the country so that the effect is enormous. But in determining the rate of inflation is still experiencing difficulties in predicting inflation. Therefore, this study aims to determine / predict the rate of inflation by expenditure category by the Average Time Based Fuzzy Time Series method. This study uses scenarios based on consecutive monthly data, consecutive years, and the mean divisor of the difference. Inflation expense category data obtained from Indonesia Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and predicted results obtained is the average value of RMSE 0.486 in data month 15, the average value of RMSE 0.335 in the data year 3, and the last average RMSE 0.314 in the value of divisor 1.9 for consecutive month data categories and the mean RMSE 0.336 in the divisor value 2 for the consecutive year data categories.

Copyrights © 2018






Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...