Mathematical Journal of Modelling and Forecasting
Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): June 2026

Classification of Nicotine Treatment Response Based on Gene Expression Profiles Using Support Vector Machine and Gaussian Process Models

Rahmadi Yotenka (Universitas Islam Indonesia)
Adhitya Ronnie Effendie (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Gunardi Gunardi (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Afiahayati Afiahayati (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Aisha Ellany Midnova (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Eugenia Rivanda Gita Flamboyan (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Daninta Indiana Mahaputri (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Leonardo Leonardo (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Nayla Revania Dewayani (Universitas Gadjah Mada)
Muhammad Ahnaf Billie Chesta (Universitas Gadjah Mada)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jun 2026

Abstract

Nicotine is known to impair endothelial function and increase cardiovascular risk through transcriptional dysregulation. This study investigates the gene expression response of human induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC)-derived endothelial cells to nicotine exposure using the RNA-seq dataset GSE274506. The analysis was conducted on 40 samples, consisting of 20 nicotine-treated and 20 untreated/control samples, using a 5-fold outer stratified cross-validation with 3-fold inner cross-validation for model tuning, reflecting the limited sample size relative to the high-dimensional gene expression feature space. Differential expression analysis identified 46 significant genes, comprising 28 upregulated and 18 downregulated, indicating perturbations in G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) signaling, calcium homeostasis, and inflammatory processes. Functional enrichment analyses based on Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), and Reactome consistently revealed dominant involvement of GPCR signaling, cyclic adenosine monophosphate (cAMP) signaling, calcium signaling, and transient receptor potential (TRP)-related pathways, suggesting a coordinated molecular response to nicotine-induced stress. To discriminate between nicotine-treated and control samples, Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Gaussian Process Classification (GPC) models were evaluated. The linear SVM achieved the best and most stable performance, with an accuracy of 0.875, an F1-score of 0.881, and a G-mean of 0.861, outperforming SVM with radial basis function kernels, single-kernel GPC variants, and a multiple kernel learning (MKL) GPC model. These findings indicate that the underlying transcriptomic structure of the data is predominantly linear, favoring linear kernel-based classifiers in high-dimensional gene expression analysis.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

mjmf

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Mathematical Journal of Modelling and Forecasting are scientific journals in the fields of mathematics, statistics, actuarial, financial mathematics, computational mathematics, and applied mathematics. This journal is published twice a year, precisely in June and December in an online version. ...