Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal
Vol 8 No 2 (2026): Edisi Juni

Penerapan Logika Fuzzy Metode Mamdani dalam Memprediksi Hasil Produksi Beras di Indonesia Tahun 2024: Pendekatan Berbasis Variabel Luas Panen, Curah Hujan, dan Suhu

M. Syarif Hikmatulloh Syarif (Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta)
Rani Rizka Ramdani Rani (Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta)
Cicilia Novelin Ompusunggu Cicilia (Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 Jun 2026

Abstract

Rice production is one of the main indicators of national food security, especially in Indonesia.Accurate rice production forecasts are essential to support strategic planning and decision-makingin the agricultural sector. This study aims to apply fuzzy logic using the Mamdani method toforecast rice production in 2024. This method was chosen for its ability to handle the uncertaintyand complexity of data that often occurs in agricultural systems. The variables used includeharvest area, productivity, rainfall, and average temperature. The data analyzed is historical datafrom several previous years, which is then processed using a fuzzy inference system. The predictionprocess was carried out in several stages, namely fuzzification, rule formation, inference, anddefuzzification. The results of the study indicate that the Mamdani fuzzy logic model predicts riceproduction in 2024 to be 27,100,000 tons; it is hoped that this model will provide predictions thatclosely align with historical data and trends, with a relatively small margin of error. Thus, thismethod can be a reliable and adaptive tool in supporting future rice production planning and policy.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

MANDALIKA

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Mandalika Mathematics and Education Journal adalah Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika yang dikelola oleh Program Studi S1 Pendidikan Matematika FKIP Universitas Mataram. Fokus dan ruang lingkup dari jurnal ini adalah artikel ilmiah baik berupa hasil penelitian, review artikel maupun kajian ...