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All Journal Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal
Cicilia Novelin Ompusunggu Cicilia
Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta
Mathematics

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Penerapan Logika Fuzzy Metode Mamdani dalam Memprediksi Hasil Produksi Beras di Indonesia Tahun 2024: Pendekatan Berbasis Variabel Luas Panen, Curah Hujan, dan Suhu M. Syarif Hikmatulloh Syarif; Rani Rizka Ramdani Rani; Cicilia Novelin Ompusunggu Cicilia
Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal Vol 8 No 2 (2026): Edisi Juni
Publisher : FKIP Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jm.v8i2.11638

Abstract

Rice production is one of the main indicators of national food security, especially in Indonesia.Accurate rice production forecasts are essential to support strategic planning and decision-makingin the agricultural sector. This study aims to apply fuzzy logic using the Mamdani method toforecast rice production in 2024. This method was chosen for its ability to handle the uncertaintyand complexity of data that often occurs in agricultural systems. The variables used includeharvest area, productivity, rainfall, and average temperature. The data analyzed is historical datafrom several previous years, which is then processed using a fuzzy inference system. The predictionprocess was carried out in several stages, namely fuzzification, rule formation, inference, anddefuzzification. The results of the study indicate that the Mamdani fuzzy logic model predicts riceproduction in 2024 to be 27,100,000 tons; it is hoped that this model will provide predictions thatclosely align with historical data and trends, with a relatively small margin of error. Thus, thismethod can be a reliable and adaptive tool in supporting future rice production planning and policy.
Co-Authors M. Syarif Hikmatulloh Syarif Rani Rizka Ramdani Rani