Jurnal Inspektorat
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Inspektorat

Analysis of Debt Market Innovation, Capital Formation, and Real Economic Growth in Nigeria

Patrick Omoyuri Eke (Department of Finance, Lagos State University, Ojo, Lagos, Nigeria)
Omowunmi Awawu King (Department of Finance, Lagos State University, Ojo, Lagos, Nigeria)
Oluseyi Olukoya Odufuwa (Department of Finance, Lagos State University, Ojo, Lagos, Nigeria)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study tests the market innovation theory, and the finance-leading and growth-following hypotheses. It examined the impact of matrix of debt market, that is, private domestic debt (PDBT), private external debt (PXDBT), and sovereign debt (SBND) on gross-fixed capital formation (GFCF) and real-gross domestic growth rate (RGDPGR) in Nigeria. Institutional quality (IQT) and interest rate (INRT) are control variables. Two-stage least square (TSLS) and Granger-causality techniques were utilized. Data were obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin and the World Bank (WB) database from 1980 to 2023. The study found that PDBT, PXDBT, and SBND drives GFCF, while GFCF drives RGDPGR respectively. However, SBND’s impact on GFCF is relatively very weak, while the impact of SBND on Rdgpgr is negative, as private issued debts outperformed sovereign debt. Both results suggest superiority of private debt yield over SBND yield, and hence, affirms Thomas Piketty’s hypothesis of higher returns on private wealth (r) over return on output (g). Bi-directional causalities operate between IQT and GFCF, and IQT and PDBT respectively. The study thus upholds the market innovation theory, the finance-leading hypothesis, and the credit-quality-spread theory. The study suggests institutional and regulatory reforms, among others.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ji

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

JURNAL INSPEKTORAT is dedicated to publishing, disseminating, and supporting the implementation of the mandates and strategic objectives of the Inspektorat Kabupaten Majalengka through scientific works, the development of knowledge and practices in supervision, auditing, and good governance. In ...