Journal of Civil Engineering
Vol 41 No 2 (2026)

The Evolution of Minimum Revenue Guarantees (MRGs) in PPP Infrastructure Investment

Ali Sunandar (Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Mercu Buana)
Fitri Andriyanti (English Education Department, Faculty of Language, Arts, and Culture, Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta)
Saipol Bari Abd Karim (Quantity Surveying Department, Faculty of Built Environment, Universiti Malaya)
Umi Kalsum Zolkafli Zulkifly (Quantity Surveying Department, Faculty of Built Environment, Universiti Malaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study investigates the evolution of minimum revenue guarantees (MRGs) in public-private partnership (PPP) infrastructure investment, tracing their development from basic risk mitigation instruments to dynamic, strategically optimized, and sustainability oriented financial mechanisms. A qualitative research design was employed using systematic thematic synthesis of peer reviewed literature indexed in Scopus and Web of Science (WoS) up to February 2026. The review screened 415 records and identified 44 eligible articles for analysis, comprising 5 studies published up to 2010, 8 during 2011 to 2015, 16 during 2016 to 2020, and 15 during 2021 to 2026. The findings reveal four evolutionary phases characterized by advances in real options valuation, risk sharing optimization, game theoretic contract design, adaptive profit distribution, and sustainability focused applications. The study proposes a unified conceptual framework consisting of three interrelated dimensions: strategic and game theoretic contract optimization, adaptive and performance linked guarantee mechanisms, and sustainability-oriented sector specific financial structuring. The framework contributes to theory by integrating historical and contemporary developments into a comprehensive roadmap for MRG design. Practically, it provides guidance for policymakers and practitioners seeking to balance fiscal sustainability, investor incentives, and long-term infrastructure resilience. The study is limited by its reliance on qualitative literature synthesis and highlights opportunities for future empirical, quantitative, and digital finance research to further refine adaptive MRG frameworks.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

jce

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mechanical Engineering Transportation

Description

Journal of Civil Engineering (eISSN 2579-9029/pISSN 2086-1206) is a new journal that preceded by the previous Civil Engineering Department ITS Journal which was well known as Jurnal Teknologi dan Rekayasa Sipil (TORSI). TORSI journal was established in March 1981. In 2009, TORSI journal name was ...