Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat
Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): August 2026 In Press

Analisis Pengaruh Pelemahan Rupiah terhadap Krisis Ekonomi: Studi Kasus ketika Dollar Tembus Rp18.000

Ari Bryllianto Falih Hidayat (Universitas Dirgantara Marsekal Suryadarma)
Nurul Huda (Universitas Dirgantara Marsekal Suryadarma)
Dewi Puspaningtyas Faeni (Universitas Dirgantara Marsekal Suryadarma)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Rupiah’s depreciation on the domestic economic crisis, focusing on import inflation, foreign debt burdens, foreign exchange reserves, and financial sector stability. The study employs a descriptive quantitative method with a case study approach. Data were collected through literature review and analysis of secondary data from Bank Indonesia (BI), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Ministry of Finance, and the IMF for the period 2024–2026. The results indicate that a depreciation of the Rupiah to the level of Rp18,000 per USD leads to an 8–12% increase in import inflation, a rise in corporate debt burdens of 25–30%, a decline in foreign exchange reserves of approximately 15% over three months, and volatility in the stock and bond markets. In conclusion, extreme Rupiah depreciation has a significant impact on the economic crisis, particularly through the mechanisms of import costs, inflationary pressure, and capital outflows. The government and Bank Indonesia are advised to strengthen market interventions, optimize exchange rate stabilization instruments, and accelerate the diversification of foreign exchange sources and import substitution

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jp2m

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

Description

Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat ( JP2M ) menyebarluaskan hasil penelitian berbasis pengabdian masyarakat, peningkatan kapasitas masyarakat dan pemberdayaan masyarakat, serta inovasi pemberdayaan masyarakat di seluruh dunia. Fokus dan Ruang lingkup Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian ...