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All Journal Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat
Ari Bryllianto Falih Hidayat
Universitas Dirgantara Marsekal Suryadarma
Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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Analisis Pengaruh Pelemahan Rupiah terhadap Krisis Ekonomi: Studi Kasus ketika Dollar Tembus Rp18.000 Ari Bryllianto Falih Hidayat; Nurul Huda; Dewi Puspaningtyas Faeni
Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): August 2026 In Press
Publisher : Yayasan Pondok Pesantren Sunan Bonang Tuban

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61231/cp4agq63

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Rupiah’s depreciation on the domestic economic crisis, focusing on import inflation, foreign debt burdens, foreign exchange reserves, and financial sector stability. The study employs a descriptive quantitative method with a case study approach. Data were collected through literature review and analysis of secondary data from Bank Indonesia (BI), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Ministry of Finance, and the IMF for the period 2024–2026. The results indicate that a depreciation of the Rupiah to the level of Rp18,000 per USD leads to an 8–12% increase in import inflation, a rise in corporate debt burdens of 25–30%, a decline in foreign exchange reserves of approximately 15% over three months, and volatility in the stock and bond markets. In conclusion, extreme Rupiah depreciation has a significant impact on the economic crisis, particularly through the mechanisms of import costs, inflationary pressure, and capital outflows. The government and Bank Indonesia are advised to strengthen market interventions, optimize exchange rate stabilization instruments, and accelerate the diversification of foreign exchange sources and import substitution
Co-Authors Dewi Puspaningtyas Faeni Nurul Huda