Jurnal Geografi, Edukasi dan Lingkungan
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2026): Edisi Bulan Juli

Variabilitas Musiman Dan Spasial Pengaruh ENSO Dan IOD Terhadap Curah Hujan Di Sumatera Barat (1994–2023)

Muhammad Aulia Zikri (Program Studi Sarjana Terapan Meteorologi, Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (STMKG))
Ferdy Indra Kurniawan (Program Studi Sarjana Terapan Meteorologi, Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (STMKG))
Rio Hansyen Saragih (Program Studi Sarjana Terapan Meteorologi, Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (STMKG))
Gracia Nadya Angelina Pangalo (Program Studi Sarjana Terapan Meteorologi, Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (STMKG))
Yosafat Donni Haryanto (Program Studi Meteorologi, Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika)
Giarno (Program Studi Klimatologi, Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (STMKG))



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jul 2026

Abstract

ENSO (El Nino-Southern Oscillation) and IOD (Indian Ocean Dipole) significantly impact weather variability in tropical regions, including Indonesia, which can influence rainfall patterns and potentially lead to hydrometeorological disasters. This study analyzes the influence of ENSO and IOD phenomena on rainfall patterns in West Sumatra through a quantitative approach. The research utilizes rainfall data from three meteorological stations in West Sumatra spanning 30 years (1994-2023). The study employs correlation analysis to examine the relationship between ENSO (using NINO 3.4 index) and IOD with rainfall patterns across different seasons. Results indicate that ENSO and IOD impacts vary significantly by season, with the strongest correlations observed during the SON (September-October-November) period. During this period, ENSO showed strong negative correlations (r = -0.59 to -0.62) at Minangkabau and Teluk Bayur stations, while IOD demonstrated strong positive correlations (r = 0.61 to 0.63). The research findings contribute to understanding climate variability in West Sumatra and can support local climate adaptation strategies and disaster mitigation planning

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jgel

Publisher

Subject

Astronomy Earth & Planetary Sciences Education Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Geografi Edukasi dan Lingkungan (JGEL) ISSN 2579-8499 (print), ISSN 2579-8510 (online) is an national journal in Indonesia published by the Departement of Geography Education, Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. Dr. HAMKA, concerns with physical geography, human geography, geography techniques, ...