JEBD
Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): April - Juni

Analisis Empiris Pengaruh Impor dan Utang Luar Negeri terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indikator Stabilitas Eksternal

Wulan Dwi Lestari (a:1:{s:5:"en_US"
s:19:"Universitas Lampung"
})

Julita (Unknown)
Nadia Aprilia Agatha (Unknown)
Neli Aida (Universitas Lampung)
Muhammad Mufti Hudani (Universitas Lampung)
Qurota Ayu Nindya6 (Universitas Lampung)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Jun 2025

Abstract

This study aims to empirically analyze the effect of imports and external debt on foreign exchange reserves as an indicator of external stability in Indonesia. External stability is a critical component in maintaining national economic resilience, reflected by the adequacy of foreign exchange reserves. The study employs a quantitative approach using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, utilizing annual data from 2009 to 2018. The independent variables consist of import values and external debt, while the dependent variable is foreign exchange reserves. The estimation results reveal that imports have a negative and statistically significant effect on foreign exchange reserves, whereas external debt has a positive but statistically insignificant effect. These findings suggest that rising import activity tends to deplete foreign exchange reserves, while external debt has not yet demonstrated a substantial contribution to reserve accumulation in the short term. Thus, a balanced management of imports and external debt is essential to support Indonesia's external stability. The study offers relevant policy implications for fiscal and monetary authorities in formulating sustainable macroeconomic strategies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jebd

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Engineering

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Digital (JEBD) E-ISSN : 3025-6429 is a peer-reviewed journal providing a space for both practitioners and academics for disseminating research results that work in Economic, finance, management, information technology and related fields. JEBD provides an outlet for the ...