Journal of Social And Economics Research
Vol 8 No 1 (2026): JSER, June 2026

PEMODELAN REGRESI LINEAR BERGANDA UNTUK MENGANALISIS PENGARUH KONSUMSI RUMAH TANGGA, PEMBENTUKAN MODAL TETAP BRUTO, DAN PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DI INDONESIA

Wiwik Tri Hardianti (UIN Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten)
Syifa Rahma Citta (Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten)
Fajri Aditiya Dwi Kurniawan (Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of household consumption, gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), and government expenditure on Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The data used in this study are secondary data in the form of time series consisting of 51 observations. Prior to model estimation, stationarity tests were conducted to ensure the validity of the analysis for time series data. Subsequently, the analysis was carried out using a multiple linear regression model with the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) approach. All data processing and statistical analyses were performed using EViews software. The results indicate that, simultaneously (F-test), household consumption, GFCF, and government expenditure have a significant effect on GDP, with an F-significance value of 0.0000206. However, partially (t-test), only household consumption has a positive and statistically significant effect on GDP, with a significance value of 0.000016. Meanwhile, GFCF and government expenditure do not show a statistically significant effect on GDP during the study period. The coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.4018 indicates that the model explains 40.18% of the variation in GDP. Based on the residual scatter plot analysis, the model is also free from heteroskedasticity problems. The findings of this study suggest that household consumption serves as the primary driving force of economic growth in Indonesia compared to investment and government expenditure variables.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JSER

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Social Sciences

Description

Journal of Social and Economics Research (JSER) is a peer-reviewed journal that focuses on critical studies of social and economic research. Investigated the dynamics of teaching and learning of social education, and social and economic problems in society at the primary, senior, and high education ...