IIJSE
Vol 9 No 2 (2026): Sharia Economics

The Impact of Profit-and-Loss Sharing (PLS) and Non-PLS Sharia Financing on Economic Growth: A VECM Approach

Marina Oktari (Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia)
R Moh Qudsi Fauzi (Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia)
Sulistya Rusgianto (Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study examines the impact of profit-sharing (mudharabah and musyarakah) and non-PLS (murabahah and qardh) Islamic financing schemes on Indonesia's economic growth by disentangling the short-run dynamics from the long-run equilibrium adjustment through a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Quarterly data of real GDP per capita and total Islamic financing by contract type for 2015 Q1-2023 Q4 are analyzed. Stationarity was assessed by the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, cointegration through the Johansen procedure, and optimal lag selection by the likelihood ratio criterion. The VECM framework estimates error correction coefficients and short-run dynamic coefficients, complemented by Granger causality, impulse response function (IRF), and variance decomposition (VD) tests to explore feedback between variables and shock propagation. The short-term dynamics show no significant effect of Islamic financing instruments on growth. In the long run, musyarakah has a significant negative impact, while qardh has a significant positive impact. Variance decomposition shows that PLS instruments collectively explain 6.4-7.9 percent of the variance in GDP growth over ten quarters. This study contributes to developing financing strategies to achieve stable and sustainable financing.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

iijse

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) is Sharia Economics Journal published by Sharia Economics Department Institut Pesantren KH. Abdul Chalim, Mojokerto. The Journal focuses on the issues of Sharia Economics, the History of Islamic Economic Thought, Islamic Law, Local ...