Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika
Vol. 10 No. 3 (2026): Article Research July 2026

Predictive Analytics for Energy Consumption of Autonomous Mobile Robot Using Hybrid ARIMA-XGBoost

Pipit Anggraeni (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)
Wahyu Adhie Candra (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)
Surya Dharma Jatnika (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)
Noval Lilansa (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)
Adhitya Sumardi Sunarya (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)
Nur Jamiludin Ramadhan (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)
Andri Wiyono (Politeknik Manufaktur Bandung)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Jul 2026

Abstract

The deployment of autonomous mobile robots in smart manufacturing and intralogistics has grown rapidly, yet current battery management systems can only monitor real-time charge levels without predicting future energy consumption. This reactive limitation risks mid-mission battery depletion and production disruption. The study presents a predictive analytics system for the Polebot autonomous mobile robot integrated with a Robot Operating System 2 data historian pipeline and an InfluxDB time-series database. The objective is to evaluate whether an autoregressive time-series model or a gradient-boosted machine learning model better suits different operational conditions, specifically constant-velocity static operation versus acceleration-heavy dynamic operation. Data were collected from three sensor sources across six operational protocols covering baseline, high-load, stop-and-go, creep, burst acceleration, and mixed conditions, yielding 10,800 synchronized data points at 1 Hz after resampling. Results show that the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model with parameters (2,1,3) achieves a Mean Absolute Error of 1.047% and a symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 1.74% for battery State of Charge prediction under static conditions. Extreme Gradient Boosting achieves a Mean Absolute Error of 0.022 watts for motor power prediction, 136 times more accurate than the time-series model for the same variable. The proposed Condition-Based Temporal Switching framework was validated on 1,803 data points and autonomously produced 265 model transitions during a 30-minute mixed operational test, with static conditions comprising 83.9% of the validation window. Adaptive model selection outperforms single-model strategies for energy prediction in autonomous mobile robot platforms.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sinkron

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Scope of SinkrOns Scientific Discussion 1. Machine Learning 2. Cryptography 3. Steganography 4. Digital Image Processing 5. Networking 6. Security 7. Algorithm and Programming 8. Computer Vision 9. Troubleshooting 10. Internet and E-Commerce 11. Artificial Intelligence 12. Data Mining 13. Artificial ...