Trikonomika: Jurnal Ekonomi
Vol 25 No 1 (2026): June Edition

GOVERNMENT SPENDING PRIORITIES AND THEIR POVERTY IMPACT: A PATH ANALYSIS IN INDONESIA

Anisa Fahmi (Politeknik Keuangan Negara STAN)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study examines the impact of government expenditure on poverty, focusing on spending in the economic, education, health, and social protection sectors. Using path analysis, it investigates both the direct and indirect effects of expenditure on poverty through economic growth. The results show that economic growth significantly reduces poverty, supporting the trickle-down effect. However, sectoral expenditures produce mixed outcomes. Economic expenditure promotes growth but increases poverty, indicating weak pro-poor targeting. Education expenditure significantly reduces poverty but constrains growth due to excessive salary allocations. Health expenditure negatively affects growth and has no significant impact on poverty. Social protection expenditure stimulates growth but fails to alleviate poverty because of targeting inefficiencies. Government expenditure does not automatically reduce poverty, as its effectiveness depends on expenditure composition, targeting accuracy, and institutional quality. The findings highlight the importance of well-targeted fiscal policies that simultaneously promote inclusive economic growth and sustainable poverty reduction.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

trikonomika

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

FOCUS AND SCOPE Trikonomika invites academics and researchers who do original research in the fields of economics, management and accounting, including but not limited to: Development Economics Monetary Economics, Finance and Banking International Economics Public Economics Economic development ...