Reviu Akuntansi, Manajemen, dan Bisnis
Vol 6 No 3 (2026): September

Operating Cash Flow and Future ROE in Indonesia: The Moderating Role of Sales Growth

Stella Stella (Trisakti School of Management, Jakarta, Indonesia)
Nicken Destriana (Trisakti School of Management, Jakarta Barat, Indonesia)
Dwi Sapto Febriantaka (Universitas Dian Nusantara, Jakarta, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Sep 2026

Abstract

Purpose: This study tests whether current sales growth moderates the link between prior operating cash-flow intensity and subsequent Return on Equity (ROE) in Indonesian non-financial companies, treating sales growth as a boundary condition for the profitability effect of internal cash generation.Research Methodology: We built a balanced panel of 163 consistently profitable companies (652 firm-year observations, 2020-2025), sequencing operating cash-flow intensity at t-1, sales growth at t, and ROE at t+1. We tested the hypotheses using two-way fixed-effects regression with firm-clustered standard errors, mean-centered interactions, simple-slope analysis, and cluster bootstrapping.Results: At average sales growth, prior operating cash-flow intensity correlated negatively with future ROE, while sales growth itself correlated positively with it. Their interaction was positive: higher growth weakened the negative relationship until it became statistically indistinguishable from zero. This moderation effect held within ordinary operating ranges but was sensitive to extreme-value treatment.Conclusion: Operating cash flow intensity alone does not guarantee higher shareholder profitability. Internal cash generation creates value when firms can utilize liquidity through productive sales expansion.Limitations: Several factors constrain causal interpretation and generalizability: a short pandemic-to-recovery window, a sample restricted to consistently profitable firms, reliance on accounting disclosures, residual cross-sectional dependence, and sensitivity to winsorization.Contribution: We introduce a temporally ordered moderation framework that identifies sales growth as an operating boundary condition, extending the Agency Theory-Free Cash Flow Hypothesis and Contingency Theory with cross-sector evidence from an emerging market. Operating cash generation benefits shareholders only when firms channel that liquidity into sales expansion.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

rambis

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Reviu Akuntansi, Manajemen, dan Bisnis (Rambis) is a peer-reviewed journal in the fields of Accounting, Management, Business. Rambis publishes relevant manuscripts reviewed by some qualified editors. This journal is expected to be a significant platform for researchers in Indonesia to contribute to ...