BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 20 No 4 (2026): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application

DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF TWO LOAN CATEGORIES IN A BANKING SYSTEM WITH NON-PERFORMING LOANS

Onik Febria Damayanti (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia)
Isnani Darti (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia)
Agus Suryanto (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia)
Nur Shofianah (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia)
Trisilowati Trisilowati (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 Aug 2026

Abstract

The ability of banks to extend credit and meet their obligations to depositors can be significantly affected by the presence of non-performing loans (NPL). The intermediation process, in which deposits are transformed into loans, can be represented through a predator–prey modeling framework. In this study, we formulate and analyze a system of three nonlinear ordinary differential equations representing deposits as the prey and two categories of loans, individual loans and company loans, as predators within a single banking system. The model incorporates the effect of NPLs as factors that reduce effective loan performance and influence system interactions. The analytical results show that the system possesses five equilibrium points. The equilibrium corresponding to the absence of deposits and loans is unstable, while the remaining four equilibria are globally asymptotically stable under specific parameter conditions, particularly those related to loan growth rates and NPL levels. The stability analysis indicates that higher NPL rates tend to reduce the stability region of equilibria and may destabilize the banking system. Furthermore, numerical simulations are conducted to support and illustrate the analytical findings. These results provide insight into the long-term dynamic behavior of deposits and loans, emphasizing the role of NPLs in determining banking system stability.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...