Agregat: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2026)

Education Expenditure, Social Protection Expenditure, and Poverty: The Moderating Role of Iepk in Achieving SDG 1 Outcomes

Elvira Febriana M (Tadulako Universty)
Muhammad Din (Tadulako Universty)
Annastry Widyakusuma (Tadulako Universty)
Sugianto Sugianto (Tadulako Universty)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Sep 2026

Abstract

This study examines the effects of education expenditure and social protection expenditure on poverty as an SDG 1 (No Poverty) outcome and investigates the moderating role of the Corruption Control Effectiveness Index (IEPK) in Indonesian local governments. Using balanced panel data from 34 provinces during 2022–2024, this study applies Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) estimated through the Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) method. The findings show that education expenditure has a negative and significant effect on poverty, indicating that greater education investment contributes to poverty reduction. In contrast, social protection expenditure has a positive and significant direct relationship with poverty, suggesting that higher allocations alone do not necessarily reduce poverty because their effectiveness depends on program targeting accuracy and implementation quality. Furthermore, IEPK has no direct effect on poverty but functions as a pure moderator by conditioning the relationship between government expenditure and poverty. Specifically, IEPK weakens the poverty-reducing effect of education expenditure while strengthening the effectiveness of social protection expenditure in reducing poverty. These findings highlight the importance of improving governance quality to enhance the effectiveness of public expenditure in achieving SDG 1

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

agregat

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Agregat: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis (Journal of Economics and Business) is aimed at being a medium for research results dissemination and scientific paper exchanges on the Indonesian economy and business among academics, practitioners, regulators, and public. Agregat: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis ...