<![CDATA[This study examines the determinants of Indonesia's natural rubber (HS 40) export volume during 1995–2025, using three independent variables: the IDR/USD exchange rate, international rubber prices, and domestic production volume. Indonesia is the world's second-largest natural rubber exporter, yet faces structural pressures such as aging rubber trees and rising competition from Vietnam and Thailand. This study addresses the gap left by prior research, which typically covers shorter periods, by using 31 years of annual time-series data analyzed through log-log multiple linear regression in EViews, supported by classical assumption tests. Results show the exchange rate has a significant positive effect, domestic production has the strongest significant positive effect, while international price has a negative but insignificant effect. The model's Adjusted R² of 0.9278 indicates strong explanatory power. Rubber export volume is shaped more by domestic production capacity and exchange rate movements than by global price fluctuations, implying that policy should prioritize upstream sector improvements.]]>
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