Jurnal Kajian Ilmiah Akuntansi Fakultas Ekonomi UNTAN (KIAFE)
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2026): August 2026

PERBANDINGAN MODEL ALTMAN, SPRINGATE, DAN ZMIJEWSKI DALAM MEMPREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS PADA PERUSAHAAN CONSUMER NON-CYCLICALS

Akwilia, Asteria (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Oct 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze differences in financial distress prediction results generated by the Altman, Springate, and Zmijewski models and to determine which model yields the highest accuracy for non-cyclical consumer sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2022–2024 period. The study employs a descriptive-comparative quantitative approach using secondary data derived from corporate financial statements. A purposive sampling method was used, resulting in a sample of 70 companies, yielding 210 observations over the three-year period. Analysis was conducted using descriptive statistics, the Kruskal-Wallis test, and model accuracy testing. The Kruskal-Wallis test results yielded an H-value of 403.470 with a significance level of < 0.001, indicating significant differences in the prediction results among the three models. Accuracy test results revealed that the Altman model achieved 37.62% accuracy, the Springate model 80.00%, and the Zmijewski model 89.52%. Consequently, the Zmijewski model demonstrated the highest accuracy and the lowest error rate. These findings suggest that the selection of a prediction model should take into account sector characteristics and the specific ratio components employed; furthermore, the results provide valuable information for companies, investors, and stakeholders regarding the early detection of financial distress.  

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ejafe

Publisher

Subject

Description

Jurnal KIAFE (e-ISSN 3063-5322) is a peer-reviewed, open-access scholarly journal published by the Undergraduate Program in Accounting, Department of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Tanjungpura. The journal was first published in January 2012 and initially served as a ...