<![CDATA[Purpose: This article examines the impact of reciprocal tariff changes amidst geopolitical tensions on Indonesia's efforts to maintain market access while safeguarding its economic sovereignty. It also assesses national economic resilience through the Asta Gatra framework and evaluates the policy implications of the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) amidst global uncertainty. Study Design/Methodology/Approach: This study adopts a structured narrative review with a descriptive approach, utilising academic publications, policy documents, official records, and relevant institutional sources. The gathered evidence is organised according to Asta Gatra dimensions and interpreted through contingency theory to assess the interrelationships between external pressures, domestic capabilities, and strategic policy choices. Findings: The ART has the potential to expand market access, reduce tariff exposure, and support export-orientated industries. However, regulatory concessions may also increase external dependency, weaken domestic industrial capacity, and constrain national policy space. Balancing these competing interests requires a multidimensional assessment and an adaptive policy response that evolves alongside changing external conditions and national capabilities. Originality/Value: This article integrates Asta Gatra, contingency theory, and the trigger gatra concept into a unified analytical framework. The trigger-gator concept identifies significant changes in one dimension that signal emerging pressures in another, thereby providing an early warning basis for timely policy recalibration and the strengthening of national economic resilience.]]>
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