Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
Vol 10 No 5 (2026): October 2026 (In progress)

A Data-Quality-Aware Machine Learning Framework for Magnitude Homogenization in Indonesia's Earthquake Catalog

Desi Ramayanti (Universitas Dian Nusantara)
Bias Yulisa Geni (Universitas Dian Nusantara)
Imam Mulya (Universitas Dian Nusantara)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Sep 2026

Abstract

Indonesia’s national seismological agency, BMKG, reports earthquake magnitudes under ten distinct, non-interchangeable scale labels in its public catalog (2020–2025, 65,788 events), with no published conversion to a common Mw-equivalent scale. Existing machine learning studies using this catalog have assumed a homogeneous magnitude scale, and instrument-quality metadata in the catalog has never been used as a covariate for magnitude-conversion bias or uncertainty. This study introduces a powerful hybrid magnitude-homogenization framework. For events with a native moment-magnitude anchor (the body-wave family), we perform self-supervised internal calibration and tie it to the global Scordilis relation. For events without such an anchor, the local/regional family, we apply a literature-based conversion using the Egyptian National Seismic Network formula. A quality-aware machine learning model is then trained to estimate homogenized magnitude with calibrated uncertainty, conditioned on instrument-quality features. The validation process uncovers and quantifies a selection bias of approximately 1.8 to 2.1 magnitude units in BMKG’s internal moment-magnitude reporting, reflecting that natively Mw-labeled events are a non-representative, significance-selected subsample rather than ground truth. The quality-aware model reduces point-prediction error (RMSE) by 50 to 70% and achieves better-calibrated 80% prediction intervals than a baseline without quality features. This combination of a practical homogenization solution and an explicit diagnostic framework is intended to be of direct use not only to BMKG and Indonesian seismology, but to any national seismological agency maintaining a similarly heterogeneous magnitude catalog without paired, same-event, multi-scale readings.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

RESTI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) dimaksudkan sebagai media kajian ilmiah hasil penelitian, pemikiran dan kajian analisis-kritis mengenai penelitian Rekayasa Sistem, Teknik Informatika/Teknologi Informasi, Manajemen Informatika dan Sistem Informasi. Sebagai bagian dari semangat ...