JUTIK : Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer
Vol. 12 No. 2 (2026): JUTIK : Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer, Edisi Oktober 2026

PREDIKSI PENJUALAN ONLINE MENGGUNAKAN RIDGE REGRESSION BERBASIS DATA HISTORIS

Ayu Amelia Pertiwi (Universitas Negeri Medan)
Sarah Putri Syaifullah Nasution (Universitas Negeri Medan)
Arnita (Universitas Negeri Medan)
Fanny Ramadhani (Universitas Negeri Medan)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Oct 2026

Abstract

The development of digital technology has increased online purchases, changed consumption patterns, and created a need for accurate sales predictions for strategic decision-making. However, prediction accuracy is often hindered by multicollinearity issues among numeric features and the risk of overfitting in conventional linear regression models. This research aims to address these issues by applying Ridge Regression based on L2 regularization to predict total sales using historical e-commerce data. The methods used include data collection (541,909 records), preprocessing (removal of outliers and missing values), and modeling with scikit-learn, evaluated using MAE (73.25), RMSE (129.80), and the coefficient of determination (R²). The results indicate that the model is capable of predicting total sales with adequate accuracy even though there are deviations in extreme value transactions. Practically, the implementation of Ridge Regression has proven effective in reducing overfitting and enhancing prediction stability, making it a reference in inventory planning and marketing strategies. This finding reinforces the need for adaptive machine learning approaches in sales data analysis in the digital era.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jutik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer berisi tulisan yang diangkat dari hasil penelitian di bidang teknologi informasi dan komputer. Jurnal ini merupakan sarana bagi peneliti di bidang ilmu teknologi informasi dan komputer untuk mempublikasikan karya-karya penelitiannya. Redaksi penyunting jurnal ...